Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 158.856748 185.943043 218.212516 260.064279 313.774306 3.816326e+02 4.759457e+02
2025-03-02 122.860646 155.383512 198.737901 262.833440 359.103670 5.056704e+02 7.627087e+02
2025-03-09 104.031993 138.261613 187.400027 267.007383 401.514494 6.398809e+02 1.156696e+03
2025-03-16 89.281214 122.758804 173.371108 261.012507 423.070351 7.483499e+02 1.603378e+03
2025-03-23 82.735795 117.669497 173.322150 276.651899 487.585380 9.774721e+02 2.634069e+03
2025-03-30 73.283509 106.411723 160.937006 266.801777 497.657262 1.092250e+03 3.547522e+03
2025-04-06 67.455602 100.050928 155.539032 268.494195 533.272195 1.301834e+03 5.410967e+03
2025-04-13 62.257380 93.994560 149.583201 267.465157 562.214764 1.520064e+03 8.284630e+03
2025-04-20 59.608333 91.897334 150.404419 280.811907 634.556023 1.972774e+03 1.673634e+04
2025-04-27 58.528168 92.363046 156.067355 306.510862 756.973532 2.839578e+03 5.333068e+04
2025-05-04 54.653729 87.303781 150.029955 302.843842 786.352816 3.309467e+03 1.225034e+05
2025-05-11 52.012877 84.244555 147.618212 307.721511 849.041510 4.149572e+03 5.859650e+05
2025-05-18 48.871486 80.195719 143.153975 307.888089 902.964018 5.194089e+03 2.951494e+07
2025-05-25 46.252514 76.931288 140.024900 311.392784 977.176816 6.851048e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 44.041580 74.222210 137.703134 316.664823 1066.297744 9.400137e+03 NaN
2025-06-08 41.259447 70.096876 131.602154 309.095962 1089.675297 1.131752e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 40.355658 69.683386 134.023160 328.873730 1279.923486 1.989612e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 37.776849 65.570089 127.099725 316.405007 1273.569946 2.314734e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 36.188707 63.401242 124.639186 318.544420 1365.712845 3.439810e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 34.572778 61.037636 121.407417 317.243450 1436.932880 5.023635e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 33.898172 60.630643 123.039021 334.151906 1671.765894 1.230231e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 33.840939 61.557842 128.254938 366.915992 2117.178512 9.001592e+05 NaN
2025-07-27 32.360782 59.191986 124.407580 362.224505 2198.731286 2.847149e+06 NaN